CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2019-05-13T16:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2019-05-13T16:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14752/-1
CME Note: Signature is very weak and difficult to discern exact time. From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: Around ~21 hrs on the May 16, there is a monotonic change in the magnetic field direction that can be associated with a flux rope signature.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T16:10Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T20:39Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM_V2. ************************************************************************************** Vo = 594.0 km/s u_r = 651.6 km/s Acceleration: -0.786 m/s^2 Duration in seconds: 275439.57 Duration in days: 3.1879580 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -0.79 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 434.9 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 16/05/2019 Time: 20:39 UTLead Time: 56.17 hour(s)
Difference: -4.48 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2019-05-14T08:00Z
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